customer loyalty

How Vulnerable Are You to Customer Defection?

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In this article, you’ll learn…

  • Five factors for maintaining successful customer relationships
  • How to identify your most vulnerable customersImage
  • How to calculate your company’s vulnerability index

In the early ’90s, the term “customer relationship management” (CRM) joined the marketing lexicon. Though the idea is often thought to refer to the implementation of some kind of technology, the real idea behind CRM is that the management of customer relationships is a business imperative.

CRM is about deciding which customers or segments to target, and then developing customer acquisition, retention, and growth plans that will attract and keep your best customers. CRM is really about making your customers the heart of your business.Our job as marketers is to acquire, grow, and retain profitable customer relationships to create a sustainable competitive advantage.

How do you measure customer relationships?

We’ve all come to accept that creating customer loyalty is an integral part of any organization’s strategy and focus. Various factors influence the success of any customer relationship initiative.

Here are five critical success factors:

1. Clearly defined business outcomes related to customer acquisition, retention, and growth

2. Agreement about who the customer is and what they want and need from your category (and you)

3. Well-defined customer segments (and their desired behaviors) and customer-experience objectives

4. A documented, integrated customer strategy

5. Explicit measures of success, and the data and processes needed to support the metrics

Customer satisfaction and loyalty are two of the most common measures of success. A variety of models are used to measure and quantify customer loyalty, ranging from simple recency and 2 referral models to RFM and customer lifetime value models. Recent research is examining those models to ascertain which, if any, truly measure customer loyalty.

Many organizations would agree that a loyal customer…

  • Stays with the brand despite competitive offers, changes in price, negative word-of-mouth, and product failures
  • Increases business/engagement in some way
  • Actively promotes the brand to others

Though there are many approaches to measuring customer loyalty, one metric that many
organizations should consider is the Vulnerability Index.Add the vulnerability index to your marketing KPI’s. A vulnerability index serves as a way to measure loyalty in the face of competitive pull. Its purpose is to help you identify your most loyal customers—those who are going to stick with you through thick and thin.

To calculate your vulnerability index, you will need excellent market intelligence about your
competitors’ campaign’s channel, offers, and markets. Once you have this information, follow these seven steps to construct your vulnerability index:

1. Map the competitive activity. Include the competitor’s name, offer, duration of offer, and the offer’s focus area and market.

2. Generate a list of loyal customers in the market where the campaign ran.

3. Map their repurchase and engagement cycle based on frequency and last purchase date.

4. Isolate all the customers whose repurchase or renewal dates fall within the competitor’s campaign period. This is your observation set (OS) and the set of customers who will experience the greatest competitive pull and are, therefore, the most vulnerable.

5. Define your observation period, which is generally the campaign launch date and one purchase cycle after the last date of the competitor’s campaign.

6. Monitor the purchases by vulnerable customers. Track all the customers whose purchases drop during the observation period. These customers constitute your vulnerable set (VS).

7. Calculate the vulnerability index. Divide your VS by your OS and multiply that number by 100:

Vulnerability Index = (VS/OS) x 100.

The index will give you a good idea of the proportion of customers who are succumbing to
competitive pressure and some idea about the level of loyalty in those customers. If the index is high, you know that there is something to worry about. If the index is low, you can assume, with some degree of certainty, that your customers are exhibiting robust loyalty to the brand.

Because Marketing is charged with finding, keeping, and growing the value of customers,
customer retention falls within the domain of marketing. Therefore, marketing organizations
should have at least one objective aimed at retaining customers. In addition to monitoring customer loyalty and advocacy and customer churn, Marketing should also keep tabs on customer vulnerability. If your vulnerability index begins to climb and exceed that of your competitors, you can anticipate that your defection rate is going to increase. By monitoring your vulnerability index, you will know who your most loyal customers are, and you will be able to develop and implement strategies to withstand competitive pressure.


Measuring the Pay-Off for Customer Loyalty

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Let me take a minute to inundate you some commonly accepted facts about the impact of customer loyalty or the lack of it on an organization. Do you know that

  • 98% of the dissatisfied customers never complain, they just leave and 75% of the reasons these customer’s leave has nothing to with the product? Sixty seven percent of customers switch from one company to another because they didn’t feel appreciated?
  • 85% of dissatisfied customers tell nine people about their poor experience and 13% tell 20 people; while a satisfied customer tells just five people?
  • 80% of typical American company’s customers are lost over a five-year period?
  • Operating income will improve 20% for every 1% improvement in customer rate sustained over five years?
  • The top 5 businesses in any industry have 93% – 95% customer retention, although most businesses average 78-82%?
  • Customers who come to you from a referral will have a 92% retention rate versus a 67% retention rate for customers obtained from advertising?
  • A 5% reduction in customer defections can lead to an 85% boost in profits. Companies that lead their markets in customer loyalty generate operating margins of 13%, while laggards had margins of just 2%?

All of these facts are about the business value of creating customer loyalty, that is the bottom line impact of customer loyalty – reduce cost to serve, lower cost to acquire, increase in rate of customer acquisition, increase in the value of existing customers. Many of the organizations we work with deploy some type of customer measures, such as customer satisfaction, customer advocacy, and/or use the net promoter score or something similar. These are good metrics but what they don’t do is tell us what business outcome they expect their investment in customer loyalty to impact.

For example, is the focus of customer loyalty to increase repurchase? Is it to drive referrals for similarly minded prospects (grow market share)? Is it to help expand your footprint within the customer base (expand share of wallet)? Facilitate faster adoption of new products (reduce time to revenue)?

Clarity around the needle you expect customer loyalty to move is essential. Movement of the business needle or outcome will affect whether the investment is paying off. Therefore, investing and implementing any customer loyalty initiative should be made in the context of what business needle or outcome you want to impact. (Yes, it is possible that you may want a customer loyalty initiative to drive more than one outcome.)

Ensure your customer loyalty efforts pay-off with these five steps:

1. Specify the business outcome. Before you implement a customer loyalty strategy and develop a customer loyalty program, understand the business outcome it is intended to impact. Possible outcomes might include some number of net new customers, reduce customer churn by some amount or of a specific customer segment or tier, some amount of repurchase for existing products, some additional business from other lines of business or regions within existing customers, some amount of purchase of new products. This step lays the foundation for how you will measure the success of any customer loyalty efforts.

2. Take stock. Can you implement a loyalty strategy? A successful loyalty effort requires that you are at a minimum doing two things well: providing quality products and services that meet your customers’ expectations and being ultra-responsive to your customers in terms of problem resolution, meeting service requests, and so on. Some homework may be in order so you have a baseline for the state of customer loyalty today. Dig into customer comment cards and emails, service tickets, and leverage surveys and Voice of Customer (VoC). Create a culture that encourages customers to let their voice be heard. Actively solicit information from your customers to identify problems and opportunities and consider implementing an ongoing VoC initiative.

3. Select a strategy. Define the strategy and program within the context of the business outcome. Repurchase of existing products vs. acquisition of net new customers are two different outcomes and as such will mostly likely entail different strategies and programs.

4. Measure. Research suggests that changes in customer loyalty generally precede changes in business outcomes typically by a quarter. Create metrics to measure and improve loyalty and the desired business outcome. Track the results over time so you will be able to employ statistical techniques to discover what aspects of your loyalty efforts are having the greatest impact. Technology can also help you centralize the information, create reports, and structure drill- downs.

5. Optimize. Use the results of your research and measurement efforts to make course adjustments that will move the needle not just improve loyalty. You may need to make strategy and program adjustments in order to realize your specific business outcome. You may also need to invest in systems, processes and tools to improve service quality, address gaps, and enhance your loyalty efforts.

Researchers have clearly documented the impact of customer loyalty on a variety of business outcomes, such as higher and faster conversion of referrals, faster time to revenue for new products, etc. The job of marketing is to measure customer loyalty and to communicate the value of this loyalty in terms that matter to your organization.